QUANTIFY, Quantifying the Climate Impact of Global and European Transport Systems
Supporting organization
EU FP6 Integrated Project QUANTIFY
Duration of the project
1 March 2005 – 28 February 2010
Participants of the project
László Makra (Department of Climatology and Landscape Ecology, University of Szeged) - HU
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V. - DE
Airbus France - FR
Commissariat à l'Énergie Atomique - FR
Cambridge Environmental Research Consultants - UK
Centre Européen de Recherche et de Formation Avancée en Calcul Scientifique - FR
CICERO - Senter for klimaforskning - NO
Météo France - Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques - FR
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - FR
Univerzita Karlovy v Praze (Charles University, Prague) - CZ
Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut - DK
Det Norske Veritas AS - NO
Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich - CH
Heavens-Above GmbH - DE
National Meteorological Administration - RO
Universität Bremen - DE
IVL Swedish Environmental Institute Ltd - SE
Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut - NL
Institute for Transport Sciences - HU
The Manchester Metropolitan University - UK
Max-Plank-Gesellschaft zur Förderung der Wissenschaften - DE
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens - GR
National Institut of Meteorology and Hydrology of the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - BG
Office National d'Études et de Recherches Aérospatiales - FR
Paul Scherrer Institut - CH
Transport & Mobility Leuven - BE
The Chancellors, Masters and Scholars of the University of Cambridge - UK
The Regents of the University of California, Irvine - US
Universitetet i Oslo - NO
The Regents of the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor - US
Universität Hamburg - DE
The Chancellor, Masters and Scholars of the University of Oxford - UK
The University of Reading - UK
Universytet Warszawski - PL
University of York - UK
Central Aerological Observatory - RU
Skobeltsyn Institute of Nuclear Ohysics of MSU - RU
State Unitary Enterprise Central Aerohydrodynamic Institute - RU
China Academy of Transport Sciences - CN
Tsinghua University - CN
Central Institute of Road Transport - IN
Summary
QUANTIFY, an Integrated Project coordinated by the DLR-Institute of Atmospheric Physics, started in March 2005 with a large kick-off event in Landshut. It dealt with the climate impact of transport and was funded until February 2010 by the European Commission within the 6th research framework programme. QUANTIFY also included the DLR Institute of Transport Research (Berlin) and the Research Flight Facility Oberpfaffenhofen. In total, 41 participants and 6 associated members from 17 European countries, the U.S.A., China and India were cooperating in QUANTIFY. The research topics were organized in 8 closely linked subprojects. They focused on quantification of the impact of air, sea and land traffic on the global climate. Accompanying measurement campaigns with research aircraft were an innovative part of QUANTIFY.
Department of Climatology and Landscape Ecology, University of Szeged took part in work packages 6 (“Radiative forcing and climate change”) and 7 (“Policy-relevant metrics”). Research leader was László Makra, who was at the same time a co-leader of work package 7.
1. The time and spatial variation of changes in temperature,
precipitation, cloudiness and other climate parameters to transport-related
emissions were quantified for the period 1900 to 2100.
2. Coupled atmosphere-ocean models were applied in order to study the response
of the climate system to idealised changes in forcing for the purpose of
calibrating simpler climate models.
3. New / revised metrics were proposed that are suited for the transport sector.
4. Policy implications of the new / revised metrics were analysed for the
transport sector.
5. New / revised metrics were applied and evaluated in order to make comparisons
within the transport sector and between the transport sector and other sectors.
6. Metrics were applied to compare the climate effects of different modes of
transport and mitigation options.
Publications
Journals:
Juhos, I., and Makra, L., 2007: Linear and Non-linear Schemes in The Prediction of Urban NO and NO2 Concentrations. Epidemiology, 18(5), S8-S8. Suppl. S
Juhos, I., Makra, L. and Tóth, B., 2008: Forecasting of traffic origin NO and NO2 concentrations by Support Vector Machines and neural networks using Principal Component Analysis. Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, (16), 1488-1502.
Juhos, I., Makra, L., Tóth, B., 2009: The behaviour of the multi-layer perceptron and the support vector regression learning methods in the prediction of NO and NO2 concentrations in Szeged, Hungary. Neural Computing and Applications, 18(2), 193-205.
Makra, L., J. Mika, A. Bartzokas, R. Béczi, E. Borsos, and Z. Sümeghy, 2006: An objective classification system of air mass types for Szeged, Hungary with special interest to air pollution levels. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 92, 115-137.
Makra, L., Mika, J., Bartzokas, A. and Sümeghy, Z., 2007: Relationship between the Péczely’s large-scale weather types and air pollution levels in Szeged, Southern Hungary. Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 16(6), 660-673.
Makra, L., Sánta, T., Baranka, G., 2008: Modeling Air Pollution of Vehicular Traffic in Szeged, Southern Hungary. Epidemiology, 19(6), S85-S86. Suppl. S
Makra, L., Mika, J., Bartzokas, A., Béczi, R. and Sümeghy, Z., 2009: Comparison of objective air-mass types and the Péczely weather types and their ability to classify levels of air pollutants in Szeged, Hungary. In: (Eds: L. Makra, H.D. Kambezidis) “Air Pollution” Special Issue, International Journal of Environment and Pollution, 36(1/2/3), 81-98.
Gyöngyösi, Z.A., T. Weidinger, L. Makra and Gy. Baranka, 2009: Application of a dispersion model for Szeged, a medium sized Hungarian city: a case study. Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 18(5B), 788-797.
Juhos, I., L. Makra and B. Tóth, 2009: The behaviour of the Multi-Layer Perceptron and the Support Vector Regression learning methods in the prediction of NO and NO2 concentrations in Szeged, Hungary. Neural Computing and Applications, 18(2), 193-205.
Makra, L., J. Mika, A. Bartzokas, R. Béczi and Z. Sümeghy, 2009: Comparison of objective air-mass types and the Péczely weather types and their ability to classify levels of air pollutants in Szeged, Hungary. International Journal of Environment and Pollution. “Air Pollution” Special Issue (Eds: László Makra, Harry D. Kambezidis), 36(1-2-3), 81-98.
Makra, L., H. Mayer, J. Mika, T. Sánta and J. Holst., 2010: Variations of traffic related air pollution on different time scales in Szeged, Hungary and Freiburg, Germany. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 35(1-2), 85-94.
Juhos, I. and L. Makra, 2007: Linear and Non-linear Schemes in The Prediction of Urban NO and NO2 Concentrations. Epidemiology, 18/5, S8-S8. Suppl. S
Makra, L., 2005: The role of traffic in modifying air quality in a medium-sized city, Szeged, Hungary. Epidemiology, 16, S62.
Makra, L., 2005: Relations of pollutant concentrations to the Peczely’s large scale weather situations in Szeged, Southern Hungary. Epidemiology, 16, S63.
Makra, L., Mika, J., Bartzokas, A., Sümeghy, Z., Gál, A. and Bíró, L,, 2006: Relationship between the groups of the Péczely’s large-scale weather types and air pollution levels in Szeged, Hungary. „The 8th Conference on Meteorology, Climatology and Atmospheric Physics, COMECAP 2006”, Athens, Greece, May 24 – 26, 2006. Abstracts, 146. p.
Posters
Makra, L., Kővágó, T., Olivie, D., 2007: CO2 and solar perturbation induced surface temperature time series characteristics for the Earth. EU-6, Quantify Project, Annual Meeting, Mainz, Germany, 26 February – 2 March, 2007
Makra, L., Sánta, T., Baranka, Gy., 2008: Modeling air pollution of vehicular traffic in Szeged, Southern Hungary. Quantify Annual Meeting, Budapest, 19-22 February 2008, Hotel Tulip Inn Millennium, Budapest
Makra, L., Gál, T., 2009: GWP and GTP forward calculations. Non-transport emissions: Earth, Europe, Hungary. EU-6, Quantify Project, Annual Meeting, Prague, Czeh Republic, 9-13 February, 2009
Olivié D., Cariolle D., Teyssedre H., Karcher F., Salas D., Michou M., Saint-Martin D. Stuber N., Radel G., Highwood E.. Shine K., Makra L., Ponater, M., Bieltvedt Skeie R., Lund M., Berntsen T., 2010: What is the climate impact of transport? EU-6, Quantify Project, Final Meeting, Munich, Germany, 25-27 January, 2010
Makra, L., Gál, T., 2010a: Comparison of model integrations. EU-6, Quantify Project, Final Meeting, Munich, Germany, 25-27 January, 2010
Makra, L., Gál, T., 2010b: GWP and GTP weighted emissions of different transport modes, 2001-2100. EU-6, Quantify Project, Final Meeting, Munich, Germany, 25-27 January, 2010